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Red84
408524.2
332420.5
603227.8
Blue138
32547.5
432942.8
14440.9
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6915505010020084138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+50
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave3
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +26
16Coral scored#20
57Coral points71
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
0Processor points12
16Net points16
16Algae points28
73Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#9
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
84Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6032
#15
27.80.1
27.127.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
blue by 19.8
325
#5
47.50.3
47.547.3
Auto7.0
Teleop35.5
End5.1
Second
4085
#43
24.20.1
24.124.2
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
blue by 18.6
4329
#10
42.80.3
43.042.7
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
Third
3324
#38
20.50.1
20.420.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End0.9
blue by 20.4
144
#18
40.90.3
40.139.9
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed