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Red93
131718.0
255627.4
493032.1
Blue121
751537.3
313819.7
549239.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610320406012014016093121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points24
17Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
62Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
93Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#27
32.11.5
29.230.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
blue by 7.0
39.12.2
35.938.1
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
2556
#26
27.41.5
24.826.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9
blue by 9.9
7515
#14
37.32.2
35.237.3
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
Third
1317
#37
18.02.0
15.918.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End0.5
blue by 1.8
3138
#36
19.72.2
17.619.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned