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Red191
402871.0
34071.2
43221.9
Blue107
696428.5
909723.9
751537.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1879150150200250191107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+70Teleop
+66Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points30
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +52
22Coral scored#9
80Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
106Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#6
11L3#4
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Penalties & totalRed +84
18Foul points0
191Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
71.20.3
69.369.6
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
red by 34.0
7515
#14
37.30.4
37.337.7
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
Second
71.00.3
69.069.3
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
red by 42.5
6964
#16
28.50.5
28.629.0
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Third
432
#34
21.90.3
19.920.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 2.0
9097
#13
23.90.4
24.024.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End3.6