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Red127
225242.8
32547.5
603227.8
Blue132
14440.9
549239.1
255627.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711750100150200250127132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
12Processor points6
24Net points24
36Algae points30
102Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
127Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#5
47.50.1
47.347.4
Auto7.0
Teleop35.5
End5.1
red by 6.7
144
#18
40.90.4
39.940.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Second
2252
#39
42.80.1
42.442.5
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
red by 3.7
39.10.4
38.138.4
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Third
6032
#15
27.80.1
27.227.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
red by 0.4
2556
#26
27.40.4
26.426.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9