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Red38
415020.8
43221.9
131718.0
Blue65
752522.1
1001122.2
493032.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628802040801001201403865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +40
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
6Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
38Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
432
#34
21.91.2
14.413.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 10.2
4930
#27
32.10.6
21.721.1
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
Second
4150
#22
20.81.3
17.916.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.7
blue by 1.3
22.20.5
20.419.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Third
1317
#37
18.01.6
20.518.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End0.5
blue by 4.2
7525
#20
22.10.4
29.328.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed