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Red203
402871.0
34071.2
43221.9
Blue180
791723.2
278354.6
150764.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179151100200250203180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points41
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +6
26Coral scored#24
95Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
123Total teleop117
Reef
13L4#16
7L3#6
7L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
203Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
71.20.7
69.870.5
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
red by 6.9
64.40.6
63.664.3
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
Second
71.00.7
69.570.2
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
red by 16.3
2783
#12
54.60.6
53.954.5
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Third
432
#34
21.90.7
20.421.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 1.4
7917
#33
23.20.6
22.523.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6