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Red80
696428.5
909723.9
751537.3
Blue109
603227.8
225242.8
381419.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210170809011012013014080109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+33
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
54Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#7
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
80Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7515
#14
37.30.4
37.737.3
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
blue by 5.5
2252
#39
42.80.2
42.542.7
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
Second
6964
#16
28.50.5
29.028.5
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
red by 0.8
6032
#15
27.80.3
27.327.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
Third
9097
#13
23.90.4
24.323.9
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End3.6
red by 4.1
3814
#17
19.80.2
19.619.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.7
End4.1