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Red108
432942.8
959741.6
566716.9
Blue124
493032.1
201050.4
581141.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061326080120140160180200108124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
73Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points18
108Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#10
42.80.0
42.842.8
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
blue by 7.6
50.40.3
49.048.7
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
Second
9597
#11
41.60.0
41.541.6
Auto7.0
Teleop32.3
End2.3
blue by 0.1
41.70.4
40.039.6
Auto9.0
Teleop27.8
End5.0
Third
5667
#25
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 15.2
4930
#27
32.10.3
30.730.4
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9