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Red156
414561.4
320148.2
1001122.2
Blue199
791723.2
278354.6
150764.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139151100120160180200156199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
7Coral scored#9
35Coral points45
44Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +11
18Coral scored#20
66Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
98Total teleop109
Reef
11L4#11
5L3#8
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
156Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.4
59.960.3
Auto17.6
Teleop38.4
End5.5
blue by 3.0
64.41.1
62.563.6
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
Second
48.20.4
46.747.1
Auto10.8
Teleop28.5
End8.9
blue by 6.4
2783
#12
54.61.1
52.853.9
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Third
22.20.4
21.321.6
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End1.8
blue by 1.1
7917
#33
23.21.1
21.422.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6