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Red150
14440.9
549239.1
255627.4
Blue181
493032.1
201050.4
581141.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112134406080100120160180200150181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+49
Endgame+29
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points25
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +38
20Coral scored#26
73Coral points95
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
91Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#14
6L3#7
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points2
150Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#18
40.90.9
40.040.9
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 9.5
50.41.2
48.749.9
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
Second
39.10.9
38.239.1
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
blue by 2.6
41.71.5
39.641.1
Auto9.0
Teleop27.8
End5.0
Third
2556
#26
27.40.9
26.527.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9
blue by 4.7
4930
#27
32.11.2
30.431.6
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9