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Red185
131718.8
402882.0
178765.7
Blue135
461170.7
414570.7
909725.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1811850100300400500185135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+4Teleop
+26Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +10
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points83
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
91Total teleop101
Reef
13L4#10
9L3#9
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +50
24Foul points0
185Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.00.1
82.282.0
Auto20.4
Teleop53.1
End8.6
red by 11.3
70.70.8
71.570.7
Auto18.1
Teleop46.0
End6.7
Second
65.70.1
65.965.7
Auto12.6
Teleop41.7
End11.5
blue by 5.0
70.70.8
71.570.7
Auto16.9
Teleop45.3
End8.4
Third
1317
#17
18.80.1
18.918.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 7.0
9097
#14
25.80.8
26.525.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End3.5