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Red195
131718.8
402882.0
178765.7
Blue145
461170.7
414570.7
909725.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1791880100300400195145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points37
27Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +48
26Coral scored#21
92Coral points74
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
30Processor points12
20Net points8
50Algae points20
142Total teleop94
Reef
14L4#11
5L3#6
9L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
195Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.00.7
81.582.2
Auto20.4
Teleop53.1
End8.6
red by 11.3
70.70.6
72.171.5
Auto18.1
Teleop46.0
End6.7
Second
65.70.7
65.265.9
Auto12.6
Teleop41.7
End11.5
blue by 5.0
70.70.6
72.071.5
Auto16.9
Teleop45.3
End8.4
Third
1317
#17
18.80.7
18.218.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 7.0
9097
#14
25.80.6
27.126.5
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End3.5