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Red241
461170.7
414570.7
909725.8
Blue147
4845.5
426932.6
239952.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199142050100250300350241147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+82Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
0Leave0
11Coral scored#3
57Coral points16
57Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
22Coral scored#22
78Coral points79
6Processor algae#3
11Net algae#5
36Processor points18
44Net points20
80Algae points38
158Total teleop117
Reef
12L4#9
9L3#9
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
241Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.71.4
70.772.1
Auto18.1
Teleop46.0
End6.7
red by 18.7
2399
#16
52.00.0
52.052.0
Auto10.1
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
70.71.4
70.772.0
Auto16.9
Teleop45.3
End8.4
red by 25.1
48
#6
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto6.2
Teleop31.4
End7.9
Third
9097
#14
25.81.4
25.827.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End3.5
blue by 6.8
4269
#23
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto3.3
Teleop28.1
End1.2