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Red113
201040.5
412139.5
696433.2
Blue135
4845.5
426932.6
239952.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13415080100120160180200113135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
12Processor points18
4Net points16
16Algae points34
56Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +22
12Foul points0
113Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#25
40.50.4
40.940.5
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.2
blue by 11.5
2399
#16
52.00.0
52.052.0
Auto10.1
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
39.50.4
40.039.5
Auto6.7
Teleop23.0
End9.8
blue by 6.0
48
#6
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto6.2
Teleop31.4
End7.9
Third
6964
#20
33.20.4
33.633.2
Auto10.2
Teleop15.9
End7.1
red by 0.6
4269
#23
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto3.3
Teleop28.1
End1.2