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Red182
909725.8
1001125.1
402882.0
Blue99
130827.1
412139.5
201040.5
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14913405010020025018299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+57Teleop
+47Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
20Coral scored#9
72Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
6Processor points12
24Net points20
30Algae points32
102Total teleop66
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
36Foul points0
182Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.00.9
75.776.6
Auto20.4
Teleop53.1
End8.6
red by 41.5
2010
#25
40.51.8
48.646.8
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.2
Second
9097
#14
25.80.9
20.321.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End3.5
blue by 13.8
39.51.8
36.634.8
Auto6.7
Teleop23.0
End9.8
Third
10011
#22Sur
25.10.9
25.025.9
Auto6.0
Teleop18.4
End0.7
blue by 2.0
1308
#24Sur
27.11.8
29.427.6
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned