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Qual 112025 Ohio State Championship
Red80
965310.6
976718.7
217233.1
Blue121
414570.7
426932.6
14430.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6317905010015020025030080121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+37
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +33
10Coral scored#20
36Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
58Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
80Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#19
33.10.2
33.4→33.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
blue by 37.6
4145
#2
70.72.2
67.6→65.4
Auto18.1
Teleop46.0
End6.7
Second
9767
#30
18.70.2
17.7→17.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End3.4
blue by 13.9
4269
#23
32.62.2
36.6→34.4
Auto3.3
Teleop28.1
End1.2
Third
9653
#27
10.60.2
11.7→11.9
Auto1.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 19.8
144
#29
30.42.2
35.9→33.7
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned