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Red97
1030317.7
37936.5
871324.8
Blue168
696433.2
239952.0
101428.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9214505020025097168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+51
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +41
13Coral scored#21
48Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
68Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
97Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#11
36.50.8
33.833.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.1
End7.6
blue by 15.6
2399
#16
52.01.5
53.154.6
Auto10.1
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
8713
#18
24.80.8
28.127.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End9.0
blue by 8.4
6964
#20
33.21.5
35.937.4
Auto10.2
Teleop15.9
End7.1
Third
17.70.9
20.319.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 10.4
1014
#15
28.11.5
28.229.7
Auto5.4
Teleop16.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned