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Red90
1001125.1
96439.2
260347.0
Blue204
4845.5
320145.5
402882.0
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6819705010015025030090204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+70
Endgame+102
Fouls+114
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +66
10Coral scored#31
36Coral points112
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
70Total teleop136
Reef
4L4#16
4L3#7
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +114
0Foul points12
90Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#10
47.00.2
42.843.0
Auto8.4
Teleop30.1
End8.4
blue by 35.1
82.01.3
74.475.7
Auto20.4
Teleop53.1
End8.6
Second
25.10.2
24.825.0
Auto6.0
Teleop18.4
End0.7
blue by 20.4
48
#6
45.51.3
41.142.3
Auto6.2
Teleop31.4
End7.9
Third
9643
#31
9.20.2
8.58.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 36.4
45.51.3
46.447.6
Auto9.4
Teleop29.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned