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Red133
225250.4
581143.0
Blue104
32540.4
14430.4
130827.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013750100150200133104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+17Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
3Leave9
9Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
47Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
70Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#5
9L3#6
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
133Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.8
47.948.7
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End7.0
red by 10.0
325
#13
40.42.1
45.743.6
Auto4.9
Teleop31.6
End3.9
Second
5811
#21
43.00.9
40.141.0
Auto10.5
Teleop27.3
End5.2
red by 12.6
144
#29
30.42.1
38.035.9
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Third
7.90.8
13.914.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End1.6
blue by 19.3
1308
#24
27.12.1
31.429.4
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed