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Red64
201040.5
131718.8
178765.7
Blue154
412139.5
217233.1
461170.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13915605010020025030064154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+64
Endgame+90
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +60
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points62
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
6Processor points18
8Net points28
14Algae points46
48Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +26
4Cage & park30
4Total endgame30
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points0
64Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.74.4
66.462.0
Auto12.6
Teleop41.7
End11.5
blue by 5.0
70.71.0
68.469.4
Auto16.9
Teleop45.3
End8.4
Second
2010
#25
40.54.4
44.440.0
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.2
red by 0.9
39.51.0
38.039.0
Auto6.7
Teleop23.0
End9.8
Third
1317
#17
18.84.4
19.415.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 14.3
2172
#19
33.11.0
32.333.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned