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Red127
178765.7
32540.4
965310.6
Blue87
96439.2
962219.4
239952.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1428605010020025012787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+18Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#15
65Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
97Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
127Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.70.1
64.063.9
Auto12.6
Teleop41.7
End11.5
red by 13.7
2399
#16
52.00.4
54.654.1
Auto10.1
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
325
#13
40.40.1
43.643.5
Auto4.9
Teleop31.6
End3.9
red by 21.1
9622
#26
19.40.4
18.918.4
Auto1.6
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Third
9653
#27
10.60.1
11.911.8
Auto1.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
red by 1.5
9643
#31
9.20.4
8.68.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed