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Red193
4845.5
414570.7
37936.5
Blue95
581143.0
426932.6
1030317.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17610505015020025030019395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+78Teleop
+98Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
28Coral scored#14
101Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
137Total teleop80
Reef
10L4#5
11L3#4
4L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
0Foul points0
193Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.72.0
65.467.4
Auto18.1
Teleop46.0
End6.7
red by 27.7
5811
#21
43.01.5
41.039.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.3
End5.2
Second
48
#6
45.52.0
42.344.4
Auto6.2
Teleop31.4
End7.9
red by 12.9
4269
#23
32.61.5
34.432.8
Auto3.3
Teleop28.1
End1.2
Third
379
#11
36.52.0
33.035.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.1
End7.6
red by 18.8
17.71.5
19.417.9
Auto2.8
Teleop13.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed