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Red149
320145.5
696433.2
461170.7
Blue67
976718.7
43222.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20544010015025030035014967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+88Teleop
+78Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave6
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points3
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
93Total teleop40
Reef
11L4#3
4L3#3
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
6Foul points2
149Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.72.4
74.872.4
Auto16.9
Teleop45.3
End8.4
red by 48.6
432
#12
22.10.7
22.822.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End7.3
Second
45.52.4
47.645.2
Auto9.4
Teleop29.5
End6.7
red by 26.8
9767
#30
18.70.7
17.917.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End3.4
Third
6964
#20
33.22.4
37.435.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.9
End7.1
red by 25.4
7.90.7
14.714.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned