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Red120
101428.1
225250.4
962219.4
Blue193
402882.0
178765.7
217233.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104208050150250300120193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+69
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
3Coral scored#9
14Coral points44
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +48
16Coral scored#27
57Coral points97
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
81Total teleop129
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#9
2L2#10
4L1 · trough#8
24Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
120Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.2
48.648.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End7.0
blue by 31.6
82.00.0
76.676.6
Auto20.4
Teleop53.1
End8.6
Second
1014
#15
28.10.2
29.629.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.3
End6.3
blue by 37.7
65.70.0
63.963.9
Auto12.6
Teleop41.7
End11.5
Third
9622
#26
19.40.2
18.418.6
Auto1.6
Teleop14.8
End3.0
blue by 13.7
2172
#19
33.10.0
33.633.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned