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Red61
14430.4
1030317.7
965310.6
Blue78
871324.8
1001125.1
32540.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751220501001506178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
45Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points14
61Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#29
30.41.1
33.732.7
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End4.9
blue by 10.0
325
#13
40.42.8
43.540.7
Auto4.9
Teleop31.6
End3.9
Second
17.71.1
17.916.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 7.5
25.12.8
25.923.1
Auto6.0
Teleop18.4
End0.7
Third
9653
#27
10.61.1
11.810.7
Auto1.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 14.2
8713
#18
24.82.8
27.224.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned