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Red80
96439.2
43222.1
4845.5
Blue110
37936.5
201040.5
103838.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7814805010020025080110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+36
Endgame+28
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#20
33Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
57Total teleop89
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points2
80Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#6
45.50.2
44.444.2
Auto6.2
Teleop31.4
End7.9
red by 5.1
2010
#25
40.51.5
46.845.3
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.2
Second
432
#12
22.10.2
22.121.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End7.3
blue by 16.7
38.81.5
40.739.2
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End3.4
Third
9643
#31
9.20.2
8.28.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 27.3
379
#11
36.51.5
35.033.5
Auto5.7
Teleop23.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed