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Red97
426932.6
130827.1
696433.2
Blue187
414570.7
412139.5
320145.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11519105010015025030097187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+60
Endgame+78
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +39
18Coral scored#23
65Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
75Total teleop114
Reef
10L4#9
4L3#11
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points12
97Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6964
#20
33.21.1
35.034.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.9
End7.1
blue by 37.5
70.70.8
67.468.2
Auto18.1
Teleop46.0
End6.7
Second
4269
#23
32.61.1
32.831.8
Auto3.3
Teleop28.1
End1.2
blue by 12.9
45.50.8
45.246.0
Auto9.4
Teleop29.5
End6.7
Third
1308
#24
27.11.1
27.626.5
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
blue by 12.4
39.50.8
34.835.6
Auto6.7
Teleop23.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned