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Red70
239952.0
461170.7
Blue120
260347.0
581143.0
909725.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17010805015020025070120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points17
17Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
49Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
70Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.74.9
72.467.5
Auto16.9
Teleop45.3
End8.4
red by 23.7
2603
#10
47.00.9
42.943.9
Auto8.4
Teleop30.1
End8.4
Second
2399
#16
52.04.9
54.149.2
Auto10.1
Teleop34.8
End7.1
red by 9.0
5811
#21
43.00.9
39.540.4
Auto10.5
Teleop27.3
End5.2
Third
7.94.9
14.09.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End1.6
blue by 17.9
9097
#14
25.80.9
21.222.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned