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Red125
130827.1
4845.5
103838.8
Blue98
217233.1
696433.2
14430.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321258010014016018012598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points56
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
18Processor points12
12Net points4
30Algae points16
104Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points6
125Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#6
45.50.2
44.244.0
Auto6.2
Teleop31.4
End7.9
red by 12.3
6964
#20
33.21.2
34.032.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.9
End7.1
Second
38.80.2
39.239.0
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End3.4
red by 5.7
2172
#19
33.11.2
33.632.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Third
1308
#24
27.10.2
26.526.3
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
blue by 3.3
144
#29
30.41.2
32.731.4
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed