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Red116
320145.5
101428.1
201040.5
Blue197
239952.0
414570.7
32540.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13718450100200250300116197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+57
Endgame+69
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave3
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points38
19Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +35
15Coral scored#21
53Coral points74
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#9
12Processor points18
28Net points36
40Algae points54
93Total teleop128
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#10
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points12
116Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.9
46.045.1
Auto9.4
Teleop29.5
End6.7
blue by 25.2
70.71.2
68.269.4
Auto18.1
Teleop46.0
End6.7
Second
2010
#25
40.50.9
45.344.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.2
blue by 11.5
2399
#16
52.01.2
49.250.4
Auto10.1
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Third
1014
#15
28.10.9
29.828.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.3
End6.3
blue by 12.4
325
#13
40.41.2
40.741.9
Auto4.9
Teleop31.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned