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Red78
696433.2
965310.6
581143.0
Blue124
201040.5
260347.0
225250.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9716505015020025030078124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +44
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
41Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
78Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#21
43.01.6
41.740.1
Auto10.5
Teleop27.3
End5.2
blue by 7.4
50.41.8
49.747.9
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End7.0
Second
6964
#20
33.21.3
37.235.9
Auto10.2
Teleop15.9
End7.1
blue by 13.7
2603
#10
47.01.8
44.642.8
Auto8.4
Teleop30.1
End8.4
Third
9653
#27
10.61.6
13.211.7
Auto1.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 29.9
2010
#25
40.51.8
50.448.6
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned