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Red172
871324.8
239952.0
4845.5
Blue144
402882.0
130827.1
976718.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151156130140160170180190172144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+10
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points30
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +23
14Coral scored#24
50Coral points87
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
84Total teleop107
Reef
9L4#14
4L3#6
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
38Foul points0
172Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#16
52.00.2
53.253.1
Auto10.1
Teleop34.8
End7.1
blue by 30.0
82.00.5
73.974.4
Auto20.4
Teleop53.1
End8.6
Second
48
#6
45.50.2
41.241.1
Auto6.2
Teleop31.4
End7.9
red by 18.4
1308
#24
27.10.5
30.931.4
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
Third
8713
#18
24.80.2
28.328.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End9.0
red by 6.1
9767
#30
18.70.5
17.217.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed