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Red203
4845.5
426932.6
239952.0
Blue129
103838.8
965310.6
217233.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15492050200250203129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
30Coral scored#21
108Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
136Total teleop109
Reef
17L4#8
8L3#7
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +74
18Foul points0
203Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#16
52.00.9
50.451.3
Auto10.1
Teleop34.8
End7.1
red by 13.2
38.80.6
39.039.6
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End3.4
Second
48
#6
45.50.9
44.044.8
Auto6.2
Teleop31.4
End7.9
red by 12.5
2172
#19
33.10.6
33.334.0
Auto5.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Third
4269
#23
32.60.9
31.031.9
Auto3.3
Teleop28.1
End1.2
red by 22.0
9653
#27
10.60.6
10.010.6
Auto1.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7