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Red203
131718.8
402882.0
178765.7
Blue71
43222.1
32540.4
14430.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18610005015020025020371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+144Teleop
+136Endgame
+132Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
32Coral points3
41Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +109
25Coral scored#8
90Coral points27
5Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
30Processor points0
24Net points8
54Algae points8
144Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#3
13L3#1
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +132
2Foul points6
203Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.01.0
78.379.3
Auto20.4
Teleop53.1
End8.6
red by 41.6
325
#13
40.40.7
41.941.2
Auto4.9
Teleop31.6
End3.9
Second
65.71.0
62.063.0
Auto12.6
Teleop41.7
End11.5
red by 35.3
144
#29
30.40.7
31.430.7
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Third
1317
#17
18.81.0
15.016.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 3.3
432
#12
22.10.7
23.622.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End7.3