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Red175
461170.7
260347.0
130827.1
Blue100
962219.4
37936.5
1001125.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17987050100150200250175100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+57Teleop
+65Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +40
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points35
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#6
18Processor points12
32Net points24
50Algae points36
111Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
10Foul points0
175Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.8
67.568.4
Auto16.9
Teleop45.3
End8.4
red by 34.2
379
#11
36.50.7
33.534.2
Auto5.7
Teleop23.1
End7.6
Second
2603
#10
47.00.8
43.944.7
Auto8.4
Teleop30.1
End8.4
red by 21.8
25.10.7
24.024.7
Auto6.0
Teleop18.4
End0.7
Third
1308
#24
27.10.8
26.327.1
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
red by 7.8
9622
#26
19.40.7
18.619.4
Auto1.6
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned