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Red125
225250.4
320145.5
1001125.1
Blue128
201040.5
412139.5
696433.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331246080100140160180125128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +9
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
89Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#5
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
125Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.1
50.050.1
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End7.0
red by 9.9
2010
#25
40.50.2
40.040.2
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.2
Second
45.50.1
45.145.2
Auto9.4
Teleop29.5
End6.7
red by 6.0
39.50.2
39.039.3
Auto6.7
Teleop23.0
End9.8
Third
25.10.1
24.724.8
Auto6.0
Teleop18.4
End0.7
blue by 8.1
6964
#20
33.20.2
32.733.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.9
End7.1