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Red73
43222.1
32540.4
Blue66
101428.1
103838.8
217233.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871290501001502007366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+15
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
5Coral scored#6
18Coral points23
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
26Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +7
22Foul points0
73Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#13
40.40.5
41.240.7
Auto4.9
Teleop31.6
End3.9
red by 1.7
38.80.9
39.638.8
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End3.4
Second
432
#12
22.10.5
22.922.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End7.3
blue by 11.0
2172
#19
33.10.9
34.033.1
Auto5.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Third
7.90.5
8.47.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End1.6
blue by 20.2
1014
#15
28.10.9
28.928.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.3
End6.3