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Red159
260347.0
37936.5
581143.0
Blue134
225250.4
320145.5
1001125.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13713280100120160180200159134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+5Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave0
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points19
34Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#20
49Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
89Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#13
7L3#5
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#30
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
159Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#10
47.00.8
45.646.4
Auto8.4
Teleop30.1
End8.4
blue by 3.4
50.40.3
50.150.4
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End7.0
Second
5811
#21
43.00.8
41.742.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.3
End5.2
blue by 2.5
45.50.3
45.245.5
Auto9.4
Teleop29.5
End6.7
Third
379
#11
36.50.8
35.135.9
Auto5.7
Teleop23.1
End7.6
red by 11.3
25.10.3
24.825.1
Auto6.0
Teleop18.4
End0.7