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Red195
461170.7
414570.7
909725.8
Blue119
201040.5
412139.5
696433.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191116050100150250300195119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+88Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave9
8Coral scored#0
38Coral points0
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
21Coral scored#13
77Coral points46
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
30Processor points12
20Net points16
50Algae points28
127Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#5
9L3#4
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
195Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.7
70.070.6
Auto18.1
Teleop46.0
End6.7
red by 30.2
2010
#25
40.50.1
40.240.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.2
Second
70.70.7
69.970.6
Auto16.9
Teleop45.3
End8.4
red by 31.2
39.50.1
39.339.4
Auto6.7
Teleop23.0
End9.8
Third
9097
#14
25.80.7
25.125.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End3.5
blue by 7.4
6964
#20
33.20.1
33.033.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.9
End7.1