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Red170
87188.3
178761.8
69571.8
Blue119
260344.6
919416.6
461166.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15213602004006008001,000170119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+61Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +68
21Coral scored#8
74Coral points28
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
18Processor points12
32Net points16
50Algae points28
124Total teleop56
Reef
13L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
170Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#5
71.80.7
70.671.3
Auto19.6
Teleop44.6
End7.7
red by 4.9
66.90.2
67.066.8
Auto17.4
Teleop43.9
End5.6
Second
61.80.7
60.661.3
Auto11.8
Teleop40.4
End9.6
red by 17.2
44.60.2
44.744.5
Auto9.1
Teleop26.2
End9.3
Third
8718
#23
8.30.7
7.17.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.5
End-0.0
blue by 8.3
9194
#22
16.60.2
16.716.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4