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Red121
201033.9
319335.9
260344.6
Blue101
814017.3
99979.3
69571.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610450150200121101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
82Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
121Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.6
46.246.8
Auto9.1
Teleop26.2
End9.3
blue by 27.3
695
#5
71.80.1
74.174.2
Auto19.6
Teleop44.6
End7.7
Second
3193
#14
35.90.6
30.130.7
Auto5.4
Teleop28.6
End2.0
red by 18.7
8140
#20
17.30.1
16.916.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End2.1
Third
33.90.6
36.336.8
Auto5.4
Teleop24.7
End3.9
red by 24.7
9.30.1
8.88.9
Auto0.1
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed