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Red62
37932.7
919416.6
265616.4
Blue106
461166.9
962217.9
824323.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114705010020025062106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+54
Endgame+50
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points33
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +30
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
41Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
6Foul points0
62Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#12
32.71.7
34.332.6
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End6.7
blue by 34.2
66.91.1
67.966.8
Auto17.4
Teleop43.9
End5.6
Second
9194
#22
16.61.7
16.614.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 6.4
8243
#17
23.11.1
26.925.8
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End0.7
Third
2656
#19
16.41.7
18.917.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End0.3
blue by 1.4
17.91.1
17.316.2
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed