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Red70
822227.1
239943.1
87188.3
Blue167
460120.5
69571.8
178761.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6819405010015025030070167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+79
Endgame+91
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave3
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points34
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +48
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
60Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points6
70Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#18
43.10.6
46.946.3
Auto10.2
Teleop28.8
End4.0
blue by 28.8
695
#5
71.80.5
74.774.1
Auto19.6
Teleop44.6
End7.7
Second
8222
#10
27.10.6
18.818.2
Auto2.0
Teleop17.8
End7.2
blue by 34.7
61.80.5
69.368.8
Auto11.8
Teleop40.4
End9.6
Third
8718
#23
8.30.6
11.010.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.5
End-0.0
blue by 12.1
4601
#16
20.50.5
22.221.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned