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Red56
919416.6
99995.3
201033.9
Blue78
265616.4
999814.4
99979.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844101001502005678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
41Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
56Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.6
37.836.3
Auto5.4
Teleop24.7
End3.9
red by 17.5
2656
#19
16.41.2
17.718.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End0.3
Second
9194
#22
16.61.6
18.116.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 2.2
9998
#11
14.42.0
15.017.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
9999
#21
5.32.6
10.17.5
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.3
End1.9
blue by 3.9
9.32.0
6.88.8
Auto0.1
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsEarned