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Red120
319335.9
822227.1
574045.9
Blue66
541327.4
260344.6
824323.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10811705015020025012066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +42
18Coral scored#8
64Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
88Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
120Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.6
47.849.3
Auto14.7
Teleop21.6
End9.6
red by 1.4
44.62.4
48.646.2
Auto9.1
Teleop26.2
End9.3
Second
3193
#14
35.91.6
28.630.1
Auto5.4
Teleop28.6
End2.0
red by 8.6
5413
#13
27.42.4
21.519.1
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End6.4
Third
8222
#10
27.11.6
17.318.8
Auto2.0
Teleop17.8
End7.2
red by 4.0
8243
#17
23.12.4
29.326.9
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed