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Red101
4840.5
87188.3
461166.9
Blue46
962217.9
814017.3
460120.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15958010020025010146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+57Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
14Coral scored#7
51Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
79Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
101Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.92.1
70.067.9
Auto17.4
Teleop43.9
End5.6
red by 46.5
4601
#16
20.51.1
23.322.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End2.5
Second
48
#15
40.52.1
46.744.6
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
red by 22.6
17.91.1
18.417.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End3.1
Third
8718
#23
8.32.1
13.111.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.5
End-0.0
blue by 9.0
8140
#20
17.31.1
17.916.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed