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Red168
265616.4
414561.5
822227.1
Blue123
239943.1
919416.6
319335.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130102050150200168123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#19
66Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#7
12Processor points6
28Net points28
40Algae points34
106Total teleop101
Reef
10L4#9
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
18Foul points0
168Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.52.1
62.965.0
Auto16.9
Teleop39.8
End4.8
red by 18.4
2399
#18
43.11.0
43.044.0
Auto10.2
Teleop28.8
End4.0
Second
8222
#10
27.12.1
18.220.3
Auto2.0
Teleop17.8
End7.2
blue by 8.9
3193
#14
35.91.0
30.731.7
Auto5.4
Teleop28.6
End2.0
Third
2656
#19
16.42.1
17.219.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End0.3
blue by 0.2
9194
#22
16.61.0
14.915.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed