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Red63
37932.7
962217.9
87188.3
Blue103
99979.3
574045.9
541327.4
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657805010015063103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
63Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#12
32.70.5
32.632.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End6.7
blue by 13.2
45.91.0
48.549.5
Auto14.7
Teleop21.6
End9.6
Second
17.90.5
16.215.7
Auto2.8
Teleop11.9
End3.1
blue by 9.5
5413
#13
27.41.0
19.720.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End6.4
Third
8718
#23
8.30.5
10.39.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.5
End-0.0
blue by 0.9
9.31.6
8.910.6
Auto0.1
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned