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Red101
178761.8
260344.6
4840.5
Blue43
999814.4
824323.1
99995.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18838010015025030010143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+38Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#5
39Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
57Total teleop27
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
101Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.83.8
65.561.7
Auto11.8
Teleop40.4
End9.6
red by 38.7
8243
#17
23.10.5
25.825.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End0.7
Second
44.63.8
46.843.0
Auto9.1
Teleop26.2
End9.3
red by 30.2
9998
#11
14.40.8
18.117.3
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
48
#15
40.53.8
45.241.4
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
red by 35.2
9999
#21
5.30.8
5.95.2
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed