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Red142
574045.9
461166.9
999814.4
Blue105
822227.1
4840.5
919416.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17785050100150200250300142105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave6
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points3
41Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
85Total teleop80
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
142Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.0
70.770.7
Auto17.4
Teleop43.9
End5.6
red by 26.4
48
#15
40.50.6
47.047.6
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
Second
45.90.0
48.748.6
Auto14.7
Teleop21.6
End9.6
red by 18.9
8222
#10
27.10.6
19.520.1
Auto2.0
Teleop17.8
End7.2
Third
9998
#11
14.40.1
12.011.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 2.2
9194
#22
16.60.6
18.819.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned